Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.0%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.1% vs Draisaitl 49.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 66.4%
Defensive zone
Ward 73.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 58.5%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Ward
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ward
Draisaitl
Last 6: Ward 2-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Ward
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (339)
49.2% (762)
+3.6%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
51.8% (164)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
34.8% (46)
-1.5%
On even strength, Ward has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Ward shoots right. Draisaitl is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Ward
Draisaitl
Home
53.4% (251)
54.3% (475)
Away
43.4% (205)
43.9% (497)
By Period
Ward
Draisaitl
P1
49.4%
47.5%
P2
46.9%
49.7%
P3
50.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |