Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 50.5% vs Couture 46.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 70.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 74.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 74.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Draisaitl
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Draisaitl
Couture
Last 5: Draisaitl 1-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
3
Draisaitl
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (931)
46.4% (526)
+5.1%
Power Play
48.2% (282)
42.4% (33)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (127)
48.0% (50)
+0.8%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Draisaitl is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (867).
Draisaitl shoots left. Couture is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Couture
Home
51.3% (637)
46.5% (333)
Away
49.8% (703)
46.0% (276)
By Period
Draisaitl
Couture
P1
50.3%
45.7%
P2
47.4%
43.7%
P3
53.2%
48.7%
OT
57.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
50.5%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Logan Couture |