Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Reichel 44.2% (+17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 67.1%
Defensive zone
Reichel 73.9%
Neutral zone
Reichel 58.0%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Draisaitl
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Draisaitl
Reichel
Last 7: Draisaitl 3-4 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Reichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
3
Draisaitl
Reichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
39.7% (116)
+16.2%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
0.0% (1)
+61.8%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +61.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Reichel is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Reichel
Home
55.1% (508)
35.2% (71)
Away
58.5% (595)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Draisaitl
Reichel
P1
55.8%
56.8%
P2
55.7%
33.3%
P3
59.0%
29.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |