Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 42.9% vs Stajan 50.3% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 84.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 84.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 50.9%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Draisaitl
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Draisaitl
Stajan
Last 5: Draisaitl 2-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Draisaitl
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (270)
51.1% (503)
-9.6%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
42.9% (7)
-7.3%
On even strength, Stajan has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Draisaitl is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Draisaitl shoots left. Stajan is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Stajan
Home
45.1% (164)
55.1% (336)
Away
35.8% (151)
44.4% (266)
By Period
Draisaitl
Stajan
P1
48.1%
51.3%
P2
34.8%
47.7%
P3
39.4%
52.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
40.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |