Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Beniers 49.4% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 51.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 79.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 59.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Draisaitl
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Draisaitl
Beniers
Last 7: Draisaitl 3-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Draisaitl
Beniers
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Draisaitl
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
48.9% (833)
+7.0%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
58.3% (36)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
50.0% (32)
+0.0%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Beniers
Home
55.1% (508)
52.4% (460)
Away
58.5% (595)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Draisaitl
Beniers
P1
55.8%
48.4%
P2
55.7%
51.1%
P3
59.0%
47.8%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |