Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Geekie 47.6% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 60.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 54.7%
Neutral zone
Geekie 55.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Draisaitl
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Draisaitl
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Draisaitl
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
47.0% (117)
+8.9%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
47.1% (34)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Geekie
Home
55.1% (508)
45.3% (75)
Away
58.5% (595)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Draisaitl
Geekie
P1
55.8%
43.1%
P2
55.7%
48.1%
P3
59.0%
47.5%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |