Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.2% vs Stastny 54.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 24-21 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 52.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 68.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 51.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Draisaitl
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
21
(45 meetings)
24
21
Draisaitl
Stastny
Last 10: Draisaitl 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
12
Draisaitl
Stastny
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
14
3
Draisaitl
Stastny
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
6
Draisaitl
Stastny
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (675)
52.5% (432)
+2.3%
Power Play
60.2% (266)
60.4% (154)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (90)
66.7% (6)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Draisaitl shoots left. Stastny is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Stastny
Home
57.3% (525)
58.3% (307)
Away
54.0% (506)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Draisaitl
Stastny
P1
56.1%
57.4%
P2
54.5%
51.7%
P3
56.6%
54.5%
OT
54.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
55.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |