Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 48.5% vs Horcoff 51.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 60.5%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 73.8%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 60.2%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Draisaitl
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Draisaitl
Horcoff
Last 8: Draisaitl 6-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (894)
51.2% (537)
-2.3%
Power Play
44.8% (134)
66.7% (15)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
47.3% (74)
+2.7%
On power play, Horcoff has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Draisaitl is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Draisaitl shoots left. Horcoff is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Horcoff
Home
52.5% (516)
52.5% (343)
Away
44.3% (522)
49.5% (283)
By Period
Draisaitl
Horcoff
P1
48.2%
48.2%
P2
48.2%
52.2%
P3
48.8%
52.7%
OT
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
48.4%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |