Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Johnston 48.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 95.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 79.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 92.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Draisaitl
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Draisaitl
Johnston
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
2
Draisaitl
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
2
Draisaitl
Johnston
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
47.8% (623)
+8.1%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
50.8% (63)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
51.4% (35)
-1.4%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Johnston
Home
55.1% (508)
47.6% (351)
Away
58.5% (595)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Draisaitl
Johnston
P1
55.8%
49.6%
P2
55.7%
47.3%
P3
59.0%
48.0%
OT
60.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |