Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reddox wins 32.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reddox 40.6% vs Duchene 54.1% (-21.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 56.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Reddox
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Reddox
Duchene
Last 6: Reddox 3-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reddox
1
0
Reddox
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Reddox
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Reddox
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reddox
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
31.8% (107)
53.9% (10,396)
-22.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
56.9% (1,665)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
49.1% (468)
-15.8%
On even strength, Duchene has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Reddox is 32.6% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Reddox shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Reddox
Duchene
Home
30.9% (55)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
34.8% (69)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Reddox
Duchene
P1
34.3%
54.5%
P2
30.6%
54.5%
P3
35.3%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reddox
34.0%▬
33.1%
33.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Liam Reddox |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Liam Reddox |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Liam Reddox |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |