Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Vey on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vey wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vey 43.5% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 71.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 60.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Vey
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Vey
MacKinnon
Last 9: Vey 6-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vey
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vey
2
1
Vey
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vey
3
1
Vey
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vey
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (956)
46.1% (11,218)
-3.0%
Power Play
45.9% (109)
53.3% (1,412)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (34)
42.8% (502)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Vey is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Vey shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Vey
MacKinnon
Home
42.9% (571)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
43.0% (528)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Vey
MacKinnon
P1
39.5%
47.4%
P2
43.9%
46.6%
P3
44.9%
46.1%
OT
75.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
42.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vey
30.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Linden Vey |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Linden Vey |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Linden Vey |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Linden Vey |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Linden Vey |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Linden Vey |