Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vey on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vey wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vey 44.3% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 82.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 67.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 73.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Vey
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Vey
MacKinnon
Last 6: Vey 4-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vey
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vey
3
1
Vey
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vey
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (378)
48.2% (849)
-3.8%
Power Play
42.9% (42)
51.0% (151)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
24.1% (29)
44.7% (47)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Vey is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Vey shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Vey
MacKinnon
Home
43.1% (239)
51.2% (521)
Away
42.9% (210)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Vey
MacKinnon
P1
40.1%
49.9%
P2
42.5%
48.0%
P3
45.5%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vey
30.0%▼
37.5%
43.0%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Linden Vey |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Linden Vey |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Linden Vey |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Linden Vey |