Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Couture 47.6% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 60.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 86.9%
Neutral zone
Couture 69.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Benn
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Benn
Couture
Last 8: Benn 3-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
2
Benn
Couture
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Benn
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Benn
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
49.2% (1,083)
+12.6%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
56.7% (60)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
35.4% (206)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Benn
Couture
Home
64.4% (433)
49.6% (713)
Away
55.8% (432)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Benn
Couture
P1
61.8%
47.2%
P2
59.6%
45.0%
P3
59.2%
50.0%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |