Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 50.4% vs Foligno 48.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 53.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 61.5%
Neutral zone
Couture 56.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Couture
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Couture
Foligno
Last 5: Couture 3-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (839)
46.9% (258)
+4.1%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
59.4% (32)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (63)
54.5% (11)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Couture is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Couture shoots left. Foligno is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Couture
Foligno
Home
51.3% (462)
43.4% (143)
Away
49.6% (488)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Couture
Foligno
P1
54.4%
46.7%
P2
49.4%
53.1%
P3
46.9%
45.2%
OT
58.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Logan Couture |