Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Jankowski 51.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 61.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 70.3%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 65.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Couture
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Couture
Jankowski
Last 5: Couture 3-2 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (526)
52.6% (701)
-6.2%
Power Play
42.4% (33)
66.7% (12)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
45.8% (107)
+2.2%
On power play, Jankowski has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Couture is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Couture shoots left. Jankowski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Couture
Jankowski
Home
46.5% (333)
56.6% (424)
Away
46.0% (276)
47.0% (396)
By Period
Couture
Jankowski
P1
45.7%
49.3%
P2
43.7%
57.4%
P3
48.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Logan Couture |