Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.5%). Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Couture wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 51.3% vs Richards 50.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 52.9%
Defensive zone
Richards 71.6%
Neutral zone
Richards 55.5%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Couture
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Couture
Richards
Last 10: Couture 7-3 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
1
Couture
Richards
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
4
Couture
Richards
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
5
0
Couture
Richards
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (775)
50.0% (776)
+1.4%
Power Play
59.0% (78)
50.0% (130)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (46)
54.5% (145)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Couture is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Couture shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Couture
Richards
Home
53.3% (407)
47.2% (549)
Away
49.9% (503)
54.1% (518)
By Period
Couture
Richards
P1
49.8%
52.5%
P2
53.3%
50.9%
P3
51.2%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 7, 2011 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 7, 2011 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 7, 2011 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 7, 2011 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 7, 2011 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Logan Couture |