Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.3%). Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 50.4% vs Santorelli 51.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 54.4%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 56.9%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 50.3%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Couture
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Couture
Santorelli
Last 10: Couture 6-4 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
2
Couture
Santorelli
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
0
Couture
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
Santorelli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (839)
50.5% (333)
+0.5%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
55.4% (56)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (63)
53.3% (30)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Couture is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Couture shoots left. Santorelli is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Couture
Santorelli
Home
51.3% (462)
54.2% (179)
Away
49.6% (488)
49.2% (240)
By Period
Couture
Santorelli
P1
54.4%
49.6%
P2
49.4%
51.8%
P3
46.9%
52.7%
OT
58.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Logan Couture |