Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.5% vs Koivu 55.8% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 85.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 65.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 72.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Couture
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Couture
Koivu
Last 9: Couture 6-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
4
1
Couture
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (527)
56.6% (1,247)
-9.0%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
61.6% (344)
-61.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
41.3% (167)
+5.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +61.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Couture is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Couture shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,142).
Home / Away
Couture
Koivu
Home
48.2% (309)
58.1% (850)
Away
45.7% (267)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Couture
Koivu
P1
42.9%
55.3%
P2
49.0%
57.2%
P3
50.6%
55.1%
OT
20.0%
77.3%
Final 5 min
41.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Logan Couture |