Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Couture wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 40.7% vs Koivu 54.9% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 75.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 88.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 85.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 82.6%
17.4%
82.6%
Couture
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Couture
Koivu
Last 9: Couture 6-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Couture
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
4
1
Couture
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (690)
55.3% (1,219)
-15.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
63.5% (200)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
48.9% (280)
-15.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Couture is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Couture shoots left. Koivu is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Couture
Koivu
Home
41.3% (368)
55.6% (846)
Away
37.7% (385)
54.9% (853)
By Period
Couture
Koivu
P1
40.1%
57.4%
P2
38.4%
55.5%
P3
40.5%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
39.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Logan Couture |