Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 51.3% vs Horcoff 49.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 53.6%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 53.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 60.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Couture
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Couture
Horcoff
Last 5: Couture 3-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Couture
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (453)
46.9% (318)
+4.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
64.9% (94)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
59.3% (27)
39.8% (88)
+19.5%
On power play, Horcoff has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Couture is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Couture shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Couture
Horcoff
Home
54.4% (261)
46.7% (289)
Away
48.2% (228)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Couture
Horcoff
P1
57.6%
49.4%
P2
48.4%
47.0%
P3
47.7%
50.9%
OT
54.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Logan Couture |