Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Crosby 52.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 69.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 70.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 54.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Couture
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Couture
Crosby
Last 6: Couture 3-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
0
Couture
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Couture
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Couture
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (275)
52.5% (1,479)
-6.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
55.7% (397)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
47.5% (59)
-3.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Couture is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Couture shoots left. Crosby is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Couture
Crosby
Home
46.1% (154)
54.9% (993)
Away
45.6% (171)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Couture
Crosby
P1
45.0%
52.2%
P2
40.8%
53.2%
P3
50.8%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
45.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Logan Couture |