Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Couture wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Crosby 55.1% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 59.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 77.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 71.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Couture
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Couture
Crosby
Last 9: Couture 3-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Couture
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Couture
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (526)
54.7% (1,423)
-8.3%
Power Play
42.4% (33)
62.1% (327)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
40.8% (76)
+7.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Couture is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Couture shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Couture
Crosby
Home
46.5% (333)
56.2% (907)
Away
46.0% (276)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Couture
Crosby
P1
45.7%
55.7%
P2
43.7%
55.0%
P3
48.7%
54.9%
OT
83.3%
70.4%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |