Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.2%). Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 54.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 53.9%
Neutral zone
Couture 52.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Couture
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
18
(24 meetings)
6
18
Couture
Gourde
Last 10: Couture 1-9 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
7
Couture
Gourde
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
6
Couture
Gourde
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
5
Couture
Gourde
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
48.4% (4,954)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
57.4% (376)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
39.9% (554)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Couture
Gourde
Home
49.4% (5,418)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Couture
Gourde
P1
47.9%
49.9%
P2
47.9%
47.4%
P3
49.2%
47.5%
OT
48.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |