Scouting Report
Logan Shaw holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 40.3% vs Shaw 46.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 56.3%
Defensive zone
Shaw 79.1%
Neutral zone
Shaw 75.3%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
McCann
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McCann
Shaw
Last 6: McCann 4-2 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
1
McCann
Shaw
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
1
McCann
Shaw
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Shaw
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (522)
46.5% (157)
-8.0%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
66.7% (3)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
39.5% (43)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. McCann is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (204).
McCann shoots left. Shaw is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
McCann
Shaw
Home
39.3% (285)
44.8% (96)
Away
37.7% (265)
45.8% (107)
By Period
McCann
Shaw
P1
42.0%
46.3%
P2
34.0%
45.6%
P3
40.9%
43.6%
Final 5 min
37.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
38.5%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Jared McCann |