Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.5% vs Danault 53.2% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 61.9%
Defensive zone
Shaw 62.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 62.2%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Shaw
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Shaw
Danault
Last 8: Shaw 3-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
4
Shaw
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (418)
53.6% (9,447)
-7.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
61.4% (757)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (96)
47.4% (1,702)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Shaw is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Shaw shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,034).
Home / Away
Shaw
Danault
Home
46.2% (236)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
43.3% (284)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
Shaw
Danault
P1
41.3%
53.7%
P2
46.4%
53.5%
P3
46.9%
52.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |