Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Shaw wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 77.5%
Defensive zone
Shaw 92.8%
Neutral zone
Shaw 83.6%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Shaw
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Shaw
Crosby
Last 10: Shaw 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
7
Shaw
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
2
Shaw
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (418)
52.8% (17,990)
-6.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
57.4% (4,733)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (96)
47.1% (765)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Shaw is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Shaw shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Shaw
Crosby
Home
46.2% (236)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
43.3% (284)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Shaw
Crosby
P1
41.3%
53.6%
P2
46.4%
53.9%
P3
46.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |