Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.5% vs Zajac 54.2% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 53.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 54.2%
Neutral zone
Zajac 52.8%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Shaw
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Shaw
Zajac
Last 8: Shaw 4-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Shaw
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (418)
54.4% (9,056)
-8.0%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
59.1% (1,498)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (96)
48.6% (1,599)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Shaw is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Shaw shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Shaw
Zajac
Home
46.2% (236)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
43.3% (284)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Shaw
Zajac
P1
41.3%
53.8%
P2
46.4%
55.6%
P3
46.9%
53.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |