Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Stankoven 44.9% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 90.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 89.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Tavares
Stankoven
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Tavares
Stankoven
Last 6: Tavares 6-0 Stankoven
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Stankoven
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Stankoven
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Stankoven
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stankoven
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
44.4% (692)
+13.6%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
42.4% (85)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
60.0% (5)
-2.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stankoven shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Stankoven is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stankoven
Home
57.8% (614)
44.6% (404)
Away
57.8% (554)
43.9% (378)
By Period
Tavares
Stankoven
P1
58.0%
42.9%
P2
56.9%
45.1%
P3
58.4%
45.1%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Stankoven
44.0%▬
45.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |