Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stankoven wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stankoven 44.7% vs Steel 50.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stankoven 77.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 61.1%
Neutral zone
Stankoven 58.1%
Result
Logan Stankoven favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Stankoven
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stankoven
Steel
Last 9: Stankoven 4-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stankoven
3
2
Stankoven
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Stankoven
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stankoven
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (702)
52.5% (200)
-8.3%
Power Play
41.9% (86)
71.4% (7)
-29.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
40.0% (45)
+20.0%
On power play, Steel has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Stankoven is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Stankoven shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Stankoven
Steel
Home
44.6% (404)
49.5% (109)
Away
43.4% (389)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Stankoven
Steel
P1
42.7%
49.5%
P2
45.0%
47.5%
P3
44.8%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stankoven
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Logan Stankoven |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |