Scouting Report
Logan Stankoven holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Stankoven wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stankoven 44.7% vs Novak 43.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 55.1%
Defensive zone
Novak 58.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Stankoven
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stankoven
Novak
Last 5: Stankoven 2-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stankoven
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stankoven
1
0
Stankoven
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Stankoven
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stankoven
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (702)
41.4% (379)
+2.8%
Power Play
41.9% (86)
46.9% (32)
-5.0%
On power play, Novak has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Stankoven is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Stankoven shoots right. Novak is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Stankoven
Novak
Home
44.6% (404)
42.6% (195)
Away
43.4% (389)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Stankoven
Novak
P1
42.7%
42.4%
P2
45.0%
39.2%
P3
44.8%
44.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stankoven
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |