Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Suomela wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 46.2% vs Wallmark 50.9% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suomela 68.7%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 51.4%
Neutral zone
Suomela 53.5%
Result
Antti Suomela favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Suomela
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Suomela
Wallmark
Last 9: Suomela 3-6 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
3
Suomela
Wallmark
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Suomela
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suomela
Wallmark
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (224)
51.8% (956)
-6.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
44.1% (59)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
47.4% (114)
-47.4%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Suomela is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Suomela shoots left. Wallmark is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Suomela
Wallmark
Home
50.0% (102)
52.5% (579)
Away
40.2% (127)
49.3% (550)
By Period
Suomela
Wallmark
P1
49.3%
54.4%
P2
37.9%
48.8%
P3
47.8%
50.1%
Final 5 min
38.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
44.5%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2018 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |