Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs Wallmark 50.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 80.4%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 87.4%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.1%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Tkachuk
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tkachuk
Wallmark
Last 5: Tkachuk 2-3 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Wallmark
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
3
Tkachuk
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
50.2% (633)
-3.3%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
71.9% (32)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
43.2% (88)
+36.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Tkachuk is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Tkachuk shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Wallmark
Home
47.6% (168)
48.6% (368)
Away
44.4% (144)
51.9% (385)
By Period
Tkachuk
Wallmark
P1
49.1%
49.0%
P2
42.9%
55.0%
P3
46.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
45.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2019 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |