Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.8% vs Wallmark 50.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 55.8%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 60.9%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 58.3%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Gambrell
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gambrell
Wallmark
Last 6: Gambrell 2-4 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Gambrell
Wallmark
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
2
Gambrell
Wallmark
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gambrell
Wallmark
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (303)
50.2% (633)
-4.0%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
71.9% (32)
-40.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
43.2% (88)
+5.8%
On power play, Wallmark has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Gambrell shoots right. Wallmark is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Wallmark
Home
42.6% (188)
48.6% (368)
Away
49.5% (182)
51.9% (385)
By Period
Gambrell
Wallmark
P1
46.1%
49.0%
P2
53.5%
55.0%
P3
37.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |