Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.9% vs Wallmark 50.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 65.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 62.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 60.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Rodrigues
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Rodrigues
Wallmark
Last 8: Rodrigues 3-5 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Wallmark
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
3
Rodrigues
Wallmark
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Rodrigues
Wallmark
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (560)
51.8% (956)
-5.2%
Power Play
42.4% (59)
44.1% (59)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
47.4% (114)
+2.6%
On even strength, Wallmark has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Rodrigues shoots right. Wallmark is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Wallmark
Home
48.5% (379)
52.5% (579)
Away
43.5% (276)
49.3% (550)
By Period
Rodrigues
Wallmark
P1
48.8%
54.4%
P2
43.8%
48.8%
P3
45.6%
50.1%
OT
77.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.4%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:32 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |