Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.2% vs Wallmark 50.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 63.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Tavares
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Tavares
Wallmark
Last 10: Tavares 9-1 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
0
Tavares
Wallmark
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Wallmark
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Wallmark
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,201)
51.8% (956)
+1.2%
Power Play
61.5% (262)
44.1% (59)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (65)
47.4% (114)
+6.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Tavares shoots left. Wallmark is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Tavares
Wallmark
Home
57.5% (762)
52.5% (579)
Away
51.4% (766)
49.3% (550)
By Period
Tavares
Wallmark
P1
54.5%
54.4%
P2
53.2%
48.8%
P3
55.5%
50.1%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |