Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.9% vs Zibanejad 49.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 54.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 57.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Wallmark
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Wallmark
Zibanejad
Last 5: Wallmark 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Wallmark
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wallmark
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (956)
49.5% (1,211)
+2.3%
Power Play
44.1% (59)
52.8% (214)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (114)
47.4% (247)
+0.0%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Wallmark is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Wallmark shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Zibanejad
Home
52.5% (579)
52.8% (825)
Away
49.3% (550)
46.6% (848)
By Period
Wallmark
Zibanejad
P1
54.4%
50.8%
P2
48.8%
46.5%
P3
50.1%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |