Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.3% vs Schmaltz 44.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 78.9%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 54.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Wallmark
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Wallmark
Schmaltz
Last 8: Wallmark 3-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Wallmark
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
2
Wallmark
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (633)
41.7% (338)
+8.5%
Power Play
71.9% (32)
47.1% (34)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
75.0% (4)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Wallmark is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Wallmark shoots left. Schmaltz is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Schmaltz
Home
48.6% (368)
48.2% (166)
Away
51.9% (385)
38.1% (210)
By Period
Wallmark
Schmaltz
P1
49.0%
42.1%
P2
55.0%
45.8%
P3
47.1%
41.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |