Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Roy 48.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 55.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.6%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 50.6%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Wallmark
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wallmark
Roy
Last 6: Wallmark 3-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wallmark
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
0
Wallmark
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Wallmark
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
48.7% (3,719)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
49.5% (283)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
45.5% (477)
-0.6%
On power play, Wallmark has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Wallmark is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (780).
Wallmark shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Roy
Home
50.8% (1,070)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Wallmark
Roy
P1
51.4%
50.8%
P2
50.8%
46.3%
P3
48.7%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |