Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.3% vs Roy 48.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 50.4%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 62.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.9%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Wallmark
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wallmark
Roy
Last 6: Wallmark 3-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wallmark
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
0
Wallmark
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Wallmark
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (633)
50.6% (176)
-0.4%
Power Play
71.9% (32)
37.5% (8)
+34.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
11.1% (9)
+32.1%
On power play, Wallmark has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Wallmark is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Wallmark shoots left. Roy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Roy
Home
48.6% (368)
50.0% (88)
Away
51.9% (385)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Wallmark
Roy
P1
49.0%
57.7%
P2
55.0%
46.6%
P3
47.1%
39.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |