Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fabbri on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Fabbri 47.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 81.4%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 67.9%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 55.1%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Wallmark
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Wallmark
Fabbri
Last 8: Wallmark 3-5 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wallmark
Fabbri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wallmark
Fabbri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fabbri
1
3
Wallmark
Fabbri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
45.4% (531)
+5.1%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
53.0% (168)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
42.9% (28)
+2.0%
On even strength, Wallmark has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Fabbri is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Fabbri
Home
50.8% (1,070)
48.6% (368)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
45.4% (359)
By Period
Wallmark
Fabbri
P1
51.4%
44.1%
P2
50.8%
49.0%
P3
48.7%
48.2%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |