Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.3% vs Donato 44.6% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 56.8%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 60.2%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 53.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Wallmark
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wallmark
Donato
Last 6: Wallmark 3-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
2
Wallmark
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
1
Wallmark
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (633)
39.8% (93)
+10.4%
Power Play
71.9% (32)
33.3% (9)
+38.6%
On power play, Wallmark has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Wallmark shoots left. Donato is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Donato
Home
48.6% (368)
39.4% (66)
Away
51.9% (385)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Wallmark
Donato
P1
49.0%
40.5%
P2
55.0%
36.7%
P3
47.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |