Lucas Wallmark vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Lucas Wallmark holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Wallmark 50.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Wallmark 79.8%
Defensive zone Wallmark 58.6%
Neutral zone Wallmark 77.6%
Result Lucas Wallmark favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Wallmark Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 2 (9 meetings)
7
2
Wallmark Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Wallmark 7-2 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
0
Wallmark Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
1
Wallmark Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
1
Wallmark Nugent-Hopkins
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (956)
46.5% (690)
+5.3%
Power Play
44.1% (59)
41.7% (12)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (114)
38.4% (138)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +9.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wallmark is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Wallmark shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.5% (579)
47.7% (405)
Away
49.3% (550)
42.8% (435)
By Period
Wallmark
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.4%
49.4%
P2
48.8%
43.0%
P3
50.1%
43.7%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
43.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%
44.5%
50.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
45.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 15, 2019 3 06:57 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Feb 15, 2019 3 06:41 Neutral Lucas Wallmark
Feb 15, 2019 2 07:19 Defensive Lucas Wallmark
Feb 15, 2019 1 11:24 Neutral Lucas Wallmark
Feb 15, 2019 1 07:31 Defensive Lucas Wallmark
Feb 15, 2019 1 03:39 Offensive Lucas Wallmark
Feb 15, 2019 1 01:45 Offensive Lucas Wallmark
Feb 15, 2019 1 01:32 Neutral Lucas Wallmark
Feb 15, 2019 1 00:00 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins