Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.3% vs Monahan 52.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 52.7%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 86.7%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 66.5%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Wallmark
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Wallmark
Monahan
Last 8: Wallmark 1-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Wallmark
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Wallmark
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (633)
52.1% (858)
-1.9%
Power Play
71.9% (32)
55.9% (177)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
33.3% (9)
+9.9%
On power play, Wallmark has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Wallmark shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Monahan
Home
48.6% (368)
52.6% (504)
Away
51.9% (385)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Wallmark
Monahan
P1
49.0%
56.7%
P2
55.0%
52.1%
P3
47.1%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |