Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 51.3% vs Crosby 48.3% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 63.2%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 62.4%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 50.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Wallmark
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wallmark
Crosby
Last 5: Wallmark 3-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
0
Wallmark
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Wallmark
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (54)
46.8% (1,360)
+3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
53.8% (357)
+46.2%
On power play, Wallmark has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Wallmark is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Wallmark shoots left. Crosby is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Crosby
Home
51.2% (41)
51.0% (867)
Away
58.8% (17)
45.4% (881)
By Period
Wallmark
Crosby
P1
54.5%
50.8%
P2
61.1%
47.9%
P3
44.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
53.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |