Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.9% vs Oshie 43.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 55.2%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 90.7%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 77.7%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Wallmark
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Wallmark
Oshie
Last 6: Wallmark 4-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
2
Wallmark
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
0
Wallmark
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (956)
41.2% (51)
+10.6%
Power Play
44.1% (59)
41.8% (141)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (114)
30.8% (13)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Wallmark is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Wallmark shoots left. Oshie is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Oshie
Home
52.5% (579)
42.4% (118)
Away
49.3% (550)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Wallmark
Oshie
P1
54.4%
39.1%
P2
48.8%
38.0%
P3
50.1%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |