Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.9% vs Johnson 48.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 66.8%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 58.3%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 55.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Wallmark
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wallmark
Johnson
Last 5: Wallmark 2-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Wallmark
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wallmark
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (956)
49.4% (399)
+2.4%
Power Play
44.1% (59)
52.9% (34)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (114)
37.5% (40)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Wallmark is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Wallmark shoots left. Johnson is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Johnson
Home
52.5% (579)
49.8% (229)
Away
49.3% (550)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Wallmark
Johnson
P1
54.4%
45.0%
P2
48.8%
49.1%
P3
50.1%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |