Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wallmark wins 37.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 44.7% vs Johnson 53.7% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 59.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 50.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Wallmark
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Wallmark
Johnson
Last 8: Wallmark 4-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
0
Wallmark
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Wallmark
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
1
Wallmark
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (142)
55.3% (284)
-14.5%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
50.0% (26)
+16.7%
On power play, Wallmark has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Wallmark is 37.1% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Wallmark shoots left. Johnson is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Johnson
Home
45.8% (48)
57.4% (162)
Away
39.5% (114)
52.0% (148)
By Period
Wallmark
Johnson
P1
35.8%
51.5%
P2
43.9%
61.8%
P3
44.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
40.5%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |