Scouting Report
Alex Iafallo holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Iafallo wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 45.2% vs Reichel 41.6% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Iafallo 50.2%
Defensive zone
Reichel 59.0%
Neutral zone
Reichel 55.1%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Iafallo
Reichel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (177)
40.1% (668)
+0.6%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
48.2% (56)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
0.0% (6)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Iafallo has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Iafallo is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Iafallo shoots left. Reichel is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Reichel
Home
45.4% (108)
41.2% (410)
Away
40.4% (104)
39.4% (320)
By Period
Iafallo
Reichel
P1
40.7%
41.9%
P2
45.8%
36.3%
P3
41.5%
42.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
46.0%▲
41.5%
42.9%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%