Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Reichel wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 41.6% vs Wright 43.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 63.9%
Defensive zone
Wright 50.1%
Neutral zone
Wright 54.2%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Reichel
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Reichel
Wright
Last 7: Reichel 4-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Reichel
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
2
0
Reichel
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Reichel
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (668)
42.6% (1,318)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
45.8% (131)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Reichel is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Reichel shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Reichel
Wright
Home
41.2% (410)
44.2% (746)
Away
39.4% (320)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Reichel
Wright
P1
41.9%
44.4%
P2
36.3%
40.7%
P3
42.8%
44.0%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Shane Wright |