Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.0% vs 44.4%). Look for Adam on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adam wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 45.7% vs Talbot 45.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adam 68.8%
Defensive zone
Talbot 69.9%
Neutral zone
Talbot 52.9%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Adam
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Adam
Talbot
Last 5: Adam 3-2 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
1
Adam
Talbot
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adam
1
0
Adam
Talbot
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adam
2
1
Adam
Talbot
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (233)
45.1% (450)
-1.8%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
50.0% (20)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Adam is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Adam shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Adam
Talbot
Home
47.6% (126)
47.8% (295)
Away
40.6% (133)
41.4% (345)
By Period
Adam
Talbot
P1
47.8%
47.0%
P2
35.8%
41.5%
P3
47.7%
44.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.0%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2011 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |